Jeff

/Jeff Higgins

About Jeff Higgins

I have had a passion for weather since I was 8 years old. In 2011 I created Higgins Storm Chasing on Facebook which has now grown into a successful meteorology business.
4 07, 2018

Snow dump for the Alps & light snow CTS

Issued 4th July 2018. Another round of fresh snow is on the way for the Alps on Friday and Saturday with snow possible on the NSW Central Tablelands Saturday night into Sunday morning. Above image via BSCH 500mb cold pool on Saturday. 

A deep low to the South of Tasmania will extend a cold front up into Victoria and Southern NSW on Friday. The cold front is likely to sweep East during the day which will trigger scattered showers, isolated storms with small hail and snow on the Alps above 1200 meters later in the day. 

A second stronger and colder front is expected to move East across Victoria and Southern NSW on Saturday. This front has a much more significant mid level cold pool of air with it. Scattered showers, isolated storms with small hail and snow above 900 meters is forecast across Victoria. The Alps and Snowy Mountains are likley to see blizzard conditions develop with damaging winds and heavy snow falls. Up to 20cm could fall on Saturday alone across the slopes. 

As the coldest air moves across the NSW Central tablelands on Saturday afternoon and night with snow forecast to fall above 1000 meters. Places like Crookwell, Oberon, Jenolan Caves, Lithgow and Orange could see a few cms of snow over night into Sunday morning. Below image via Higgins premium

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By Sunday the system moves well off into the Tasman Sea leaving mostly fine conditions. This is followed up by a large high pressure system producing plenty of sunshine and light winds which will make for perfect skiing conditions on the slopes well into the week. 

4 07, 2018

Winter cold blast & frosts returning to QLD

Issued 4th July 2018. A second round of Winter is on the way this weekend after an extended warm period across the state. Above image via BSCH showing minimum temperatures on Monday. 

After an unseasonably warm few weeks with patchy rain around, dry cold conditions are set to make a return this weekend. On Saturday a cold front will push through North West, Western, South West and Southern inland areas. Ahead of the front some showers and possible isolated storms are expected through Central and South East districts. 

During Sunday the cold dry gusty South West to South East winds will push right across the state. Maximum temperatures across the South East inland and Southern inland districts will struggle to reach above 18C but thats not all… take 5 to 10C off the forecast temps due to the wind chill factor. Below image max temps on Sunday via BSCH. 

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Brisbane and the South East Coast will feel the chill bit it won’t be too bad with tops around 20C… just stay out of the wind. The colder airmass will also be felt right across Central and Northern QLD on Sunday and Monday. 

On Sunday morning some frosts areas are likely to develop across the Granite Belt but then on Monday and Tuesday they will become more widespread across South East inland, Southern inland and Central inland districts. 

It won’t last long as winds turn more from the East on Tuesday and Wednesday causing temperatures to warm up again. 

26 06, 2018

Follow Up Winter Rain Potential QLD & NSW

Issued on 26th June 2018. Widespread follow up rain is currently showing forecast potential across parts of Queensland and NSW from this Sunday through to Tuesday. Above image via BOM.

Over the next 4 days widespread showers and rain areas are forecast across parts of Central, Southern and South East QLD with the heaviest falls likely on Wednesday. Showers are then expected to persist from Thursday to Saturday. Rainfall totals of 10 to 25mm are likely during this time. Below image via BOM. 

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On Sunday and Monday global models are currently suggesting a low pressure trough system will develop through Southern inland Central inland and parts of Western districts with scattered showers rain areas and storms. This may then progress East on Tuesday and reach the coast. Its not locked in and either are the totals but its promising to see the potential existing in forecasts both at this time of year and after a long dry spell which has caused drought. 

In NSW during the next 4 days large parts of the state are likely to see rainfall. The better falls of 10-25mm are expected to remain through inland parts of the state. Showers, rain areas and isolated storms will start in the North West today then spread across most of the state during Wednesday and Thursday. Friday and Saturday should be fine through most districts just the chance of a few light showers through the Eastern interior on Friday then across the far north on Saturday.

On Sunday and Monday there is the potential for a trough to develop across Northern and Eastern districts bringing a return of showers and rain areas. Again these are not locked in just yet and hopefully the forecast can either hold and increase in potential as time progresses. Large parts of the state are severely drought affected ATM and all rain no mater how small will be welcomed by farmers and landowners. 

Detailed accurate daily rainfall and storm forecasts are available across QLD and NSW through our premium membership service HERE! 

 

22 06, 2018

Widespread Winter Rain For Parts Of QLD & NSW

Issued 22nd June 2018. UPDATED 25th June 2018. After a long dry spell, inland parts of Central and Southern QLD and inland parts Northern and Central NSW could see their best rain in many months on Tuesday and Wednesday. SEQLD daily 24hr rainfall maps avialable via HSC Premium Forecasts.

Despite some other OUTRAGEOUS claims of 200mm in 24hrs, the highest rainfall totals of around 25mm over 2 days is more likely to eventuate through Southern inland QLD and Northern inland NSW. There is nothing “freaky” about that, it is just welcome and well needed rain.  

Central and Southern inland QLD from Mackay to Longreach south are likely to see widespread falls of 10 to 25mm.  

 

A majority of NSW is also likely to see widespread falls of 10 to 25mm. NSW daily 24hr rainfall maps avialable via HSC Premium Forecasts.

The trigger on Tuesday is an upper trough of cold air shifting East from Central Australia which will provide instability. A high pressure system in the Tasman Sea will direct a deep moist Northerly flow into the upper system which will generate showers, rain and and even some isolated storms. 

On Wednesday the system moves East and peaks in intensity through Eastern QLD and Eastern NSW. On Thursday a bulk of the system moves offshore leaving some showers.

A second follow up system is now also forecast next week starting Sunday which at this stage could bring better falls than the first round across large parts of QLD and NSW.

 

 

 

18 06, 2018

Coldest Frosty Mornings This Year For QLD!

Issued 18th June 2018. Tuesday and Wednesday are forecast to be the 2 coldest and frosty mornings across the state this year. 3/4’s of Queensland is likely to wake freezing near or below zero temperatures! Above frost forecast via Higgins premium membership. 

You thought this morning was cold, wait and see what Tuesday and Wednesday brings as the coldest air this year sinks in across the state. 

On Sunday and Monday morning a polar blast delivered snow to Northern parts of NSW just over the QLD border. Many places across Southern and South East QLD woke to ice and frost including the Western and Southern suburbs of Brisbane, Maryborough and Coolangatta. The coldest recorded was -4.9C at Oakey on the Darling Downs. 

During Monday night winds will ease allowing temperatures to plummet shortly after sunset across large parts of the state, especially through Southern and Central districts. The very light winds by morning will allow for frost to settle where any air temperatures reach below 3C. 

Again places VERY close to the South East QLD Coastline may see morning frosts and ice on windscreens of cars. Areas such as Sunshine Coast hinterland, Western, Northern and Southern suburbs of Brisbane, the Gold Coast and Tweed Coast hinterlands all could see frost and ice. 

The coldest places though will be inland across the Darling Downs, Granite Belt, Warrego and Maranoa where well below freezing temperatures of minus 5C are likely. Widespread heavy frosts are forecast through Central inland and Southern inland districts.

Frosts are also forecast to reach into the Northern inland regions of the state to places like Charters Towers and Hughenden.  

Looks like Winter has fallen on a Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday this year in Queensland. Below image taken by Chris McFerran from SE Qld Weather Photography near Warwick on Monday morning which has received 10,000 likes on our facebook page today. 

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17 06, 2018

UPDATED Snow Likely For Northern NSW!

Issued 9am 17th June 2018. Snow is now likely to fall on the Northern Tablelands of NSW during Sunday and Monday. Above image: Snow at Ben Lomond near Guyra NSW via Higgins Storm Chasing.

A very cold air mass is pushing its way North across NSW producing widespread snow. Good snow flurries have been recorded on Sunday morning across the Central Tablelands of NSW at Orange and Oberon. Initially our snow forecast was limited to areas around Walcha and the Barrington Tops however moisture forecasts have now increased further North. 

A very cold air mass is forecast to reach the Northern Tablelands of NSW on Sunday afternoon through Sunday night and during Monday. Low level moisture forecasts have increased which is likely to lead to snow falls above 1100 meters. Around 2cms of snow is expected at Guyra, Ben Lomond, Black Mountain and Uralla while slightly higher falls of 2 – 4cm could occur around Walcha, Hanging Rock and the Barrington Tops. Below forecast via Higgins Storm Chasing premium, click here to subscribe! 

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Due to to limited amount of snow expected to settle on the ground long drives down to see the snow may not be worthwhile so consider this before heading off. 

No snow is expected to fall further North at places like Tenterfield / Mt Mackenzie, Stanthorpe or areas further North… cold enough but no moisture. 

14 06, 2018

Over Half Of Queensland About To Freeze!

Issued 14th June 2018. The coldest days and nights this year are about to grip over half of Queensland as a massive cold front sweeps across the state. Widespread morning frosts will freeze large parts of the state possibly edging into the Western Brisbane suburbs! Above image credit: Chris McFerran SE Qld Weather Photography 

What has been a mild Winter so far is all about to change this weekend. A massive strong cold front which will bring Snow to low levels down South will reach Queensland on Sunday. NOTE – It will easily be cold enough for snow on the Northern Tablelands of NSW however there is ONE BIG PROBLEM… No moisture = No snow. 

A bitterly cold and gusty South West wind will develop during Sunday across Southern and South East districts. 

Monday will be easily the coldest day of year so far and may even be the coldest this Winter as the South Westerly winds push right across the state! The Darling Downs and Granite Belt won’t get above 15c but this will be nothing compared to the wind chill factor. If you’re outside in Toowoomba on Monday the feels like will be less than 5C all day.

Brisbane, Ipswich, Gold and Sunshine Coasts, Gympie, Bundaberg, Emerald and Longreach are all going for a top temp of just 18C on Monday then take at least 5C off for the wind chill outside. 

Cairns, Townsville, Mackay, Rockhampton and Mt Isa will all feel the chill in the air as well. Below image Higgins Storm Chasing maximum temperatures on Monday. (Click on image for high resolution) 

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Widespread morning frosts are likely to develop through the Southern inland on Sunday before pushing close to the coast and further North on Monday and Tuesday. Severe frosts are expected across the Granite Belt, Roma and Mitchell where minimums could drop to -5C of more. Heavy frost is also likely across the Darling Downs, Warrego and Maranoa districts. 

Frosts could reach into parts of  Western Brisbane and the Western Gold Coast suburbs. They are also likely to push as far North as Moranbah and Longreach. Similar conditions are also forecast on Tuesday. Below image Higgins Storm Chasing 3 day frost risk from Sunday to Tuesday. (click image for high resolution)

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The gusty South West winds will ease on Wednesday and turn more Southerly which will allow temperatures to recover by a few degrees. Stay safe and warm everyone! ~ Jeff Higgins ~ 
MEDIA: Do not republish any content (images or text) without permission.

15 05, 2018

Space Station Visible Over Brisbane, Sydney, Canberra, Melbourne!

Issued for Thursday 17th May 2018. Be sure to look up in the sky on Thursday night shortly after sunset and show the kids! The ISS or International Space Station will make a visible pass directly over South East Australia for 6 minutes at each location. Above image via ISS astroviewer.

The following times are for South East QLD and North East NSW districts. Beginning at 5:48pm this the ISS will start to be seen in the South West sky while heading towards the North East. At 5:52pm it will be passing directly over North East NSW. By 5:55pm it will vanish again off in a North East direction over the Coral Sea.
Sydney and Canberra beginning at 5:47pm this the ISS will start to be seen in the South West sky while heading towards the North East. At 5:50pm it will be passing directly over Central inland NSW. By 5:53pm it will vanish again off in a North East direction.
Melbourne 
begins at 5:45pm and the ISS will start to be seen in the South West sky while heading towards the North East. At 5:48pm it will be passing directly over Central Victoria. By 5:52pm it will vanish again off in a North East direction.


For other locations and exact times please click on this link and use the search box! 

These times are about 25 to 40 minutes after sunset which is the best time to view the ISS due to sunlight being reflected off the craft. It will look like a bright star moving across the sky and can be easily seen by eye. There is some cloud cover forecast across Victoria though NSW, ACT and Southern / South East QLD are expecting clear skies. 

 

ISS Fun Facts 

• It travels at 27,600km hr or 276 x faster than a car going along the highway!
• It orbits around the earth 15.5 times a day or once every 92 minutes! 
• It weighs 419 tons or equivalent to 279 family cars!
• The ISS is bigger than a football field – 108 meters wide x 72 meters long and 20 meters high! 
• There are 6 people on board ATM which is maximum capacity! 
• It has been up there for 19 and a half years and has gone around the world over 100,000 times! 
• It flies between 330km and 435km above the earth and falls closer to the earth by 2km every month!
• Expedition 55 is the 55th expedition which began upon the departure of Soyuz MS-06 on February 27, 2018. Anton Shkaplerov, Scott D. Tingle and Norishige Kanai were transferred from Expedition 54, with Anton Shkaplerov taking the commander role. They are currently in space.

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An actual photo of the International Space Station via NASA

10 05, 2018

Hobart Could Break 177 Year Rainfall Record

Issued 10th May 2018. With heavy rainfall of 50 to 100mm forecast during the next 24 to 48 hours, Hobart could break its 177 year daily rainfall record. Above rainfall forecast via Windy.com

A deep low pressure system is developing over the state on Thursday which is forecast to move East and be located North East of Tasmania on Friday morning. Hobart is likely to see rainfall increase with moderate to locally heavy falls during Thursday and Friday as deep strong South East winds drag high amounts of moisture across the coast.

The May daily rainfall record at Botanical Gardens in Hobart is 49.5mm set back in 1973, records began here in 1841!

Nearby at Ellerslie Road in Hobart the record is 46.7mm set back in 1958, records began at this location in 1882. 

This system certainly has the potential to set new rainfall records in Hobart so we will just have to wait and see if that actually happens. 

Damaging winds are expected to greatly increase late Thursday as the low moves East and deepens. These winds will come from a different direction than people are used to in Tasmania. Instead of being the typical South West to West they will be South to South East straight off the coast. Wind gusts may reach 100km hr in Hobart with higher gusts to 125km hr across elevated areas. Below image showing wind gusts via Windy.com
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20cm of snow is expected across Central districts above 900m during Thursday. 

Most of Eastern half of Tasmania is set to receive a drenching along with strong to damaging winds over the next 2 days. The system moves North East along the NSW coast on Saturday which will ease conditions across Tasmania. 

 

 

9 05, 2018

Cold Blast On The Way For South Australia!

Issued 9th May 2018. South East South Australia including Adelaide will feel a Winter like cold blast on Thursday and Friday this week. Adelaide is heading for a chilly top of 16C on Thursday with an extra 5C less for wind chill factor. This system will bring an end to the above average Autumn temperatures experienced so far. Above image maximum temperatures via BSCH.

A deep low pressure system is moving North East across the Eastern Bight on Wednesday afternoon which is forecast to develop further in Bass Straight during Thursday. A very strong cold Southerly airmass will push across South East South Australia with wind gusts between 60 and 80km hr. 

Showers and possible isolated inland storms are likely to develop on Thursday, both could contain small hail due to very cold upper level air. Rainfall totals are only expected to be 5 to 15mm at best unfortunately. Below image showing very strong Southerly winds in red and purple during Thursday via Windy.com

 

 

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Minimum temperatures will drop to between 4 and 7C across inland parts of the South East though frosts are unlikely at this stage. 

Very large swell of 4 to 6 meters is also expected to develop along the South East Coast from Kangaroo Island to the Victorian border. Wave heights of 2 to 2.7 meters are forecast in open waters of the Spencer Gulf and St Vincent Gulf. This large swell will begin to ease during Friday.