HEAVY RAIN & POSSIBLE FLOODING ALERT FOR NORTH & CENTRAL QLD FROM CAIRNS SOUTH TO SEVENTEEN SEVENTY & ADJACENT INLAND AREAS – issued Monday 2/1/17

Current situation at 4pm on Monday 2/1/17: An upper low is located inland half way between Townsville and Mackay which is slow moving with a deep tropical Northerly flow feeding into it. A surface low is developing on the Central Coast near Yeppoon with a strong Easterly onshore flow south to Seventeen Seventy. Scattered showers, storms and rain areas with moderate to possibly heavy falls are occurring along the Coast and adjacent inland areas from Cairns south the Seventeen Seventy. This activity is slow moving and may lead to local flash flooding. Further showers, storms and rain areas are expected to continue tonight across these regions with may produce areas of flash flooding. 

Tuesday: The upper low is forecast to remain slow moving and is expected to be located on the coast near Bowen. A deep tropical flow is forecast to continue feeding in from the North. The surface low is forecast to have reached peak intensity at 35 knots and be located about 200km North East of Yeppoon with a strong South East onshore wind flow from Mackay south to Fraser island. Further scattered showers, storms and rain areas with moderate to possibly heavy falls are expected to continue along the coast from Cairns to Seventeen Seventy including adjacent inland areas. This activity may produce areas of flash flooding with possible river creek and stream rises due to repeated rainfall. 

Wednesday: The upper low is forecast to remain slow moving and is expected to be located just offshore from Mackay. A deep tropical flow is forecast to continue feeding in from the North. The surface low is forecast to have transitioned into a surface trough with intensity remaining at 35 knots and be located from St Lawence south to about Fraser island with strong South East onshore winds. Further scattered showers, storms and rain areas with moderate to possibly heavy falls are expected to continue along the coast from Cairns to Seventeen Seventy including adjacent inland areas. This activity may produce areas of flash flooding with possible river, creek and stream rises due to repeated rainfall. 

Thursday: The upper low move further offshore into the Coral Sea. A deep tropical flow is forecast to continue feeding in over North Tropical Coast south to about Townsville. The surface trough contracts further North be located from Bowen south to about Yeppoon with strong South East onshore winds. Further scattered showers, storms and rain areas with moderate to possibly heavy falls are expected to continue along the coast from Cairns to Yeppoon including adjacent inland areas. This activity may produce areas of flash flooding with possible river, creek and stream rises due to repeated rainfall. 

Flood Watch: Widespread accumulation rainfall totals of 100 to 150mm are expected along parts of the North Tropical and Central QLD coasts including adjacent inland districts during the next 3 to 4 days. Isolated locally higher falls between 150 and 250mm are possible. Slow moving moderate to heavy rain areas and storms may produce flash flooding. Areas under repeated heavy daily rainfall may also see river, creek and stream rises.

 

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