Issued 16th Sept 2019. Tomorrow (Tuesday) is potentially a risk of severe weather across parts of South East QLD and North East NSW as a strong trough moves through. Above image: Wind gusts via Windy.com with weather risks highlighted by HSC. 

South East and Southern inland QLD: For areas across the Eastern Darling Downs, Granite Belt there is up to a 50% chance for some isolated high based showers and thunderstorms to develop. These showers and storm chances increase to around 70-90% across the South East Coast daily South of the Sunshine Coast though they should still remain isolated hit n miss. Any storms that develop will have a moderate risk of producing damaging winds over 90km hr due to very strong mid level winds being dragged down to the surface. If stronger storms do develop there is also a low to moderate risk of large hail between 2-4cms. Lightning will pose a bush fire starting risk. 
Maximum temperatures 29-33C are forecast with very low humidity levels. A strong North Westerly wind flow is expected across the Darling Downs and Granite Belt during the morning with a strong a gusty South West wind change developing during the afternoon. The combination of heat, low humidity and strong winds will cause SEVERE bush fire dangers. Winds East of the ranges will be moderate North West to North Easterly. 

North East and Northern inland NSW: For areas along and East of the ranges there is up to a 90% chance of scattered showers and storms developing between Port Macquarie and Lismore. Any storms that develop will have a moderate risk of producing damaging winds over 90km hr due to very strong mid level winds being dragged down to the surface. If stronger storms do develop, which is higher possibility due to higher moisture, a moderate risk of large hail between 2-4cms will exist. Lightning will also pose a bush fire starting risk. Very warm, dry and windy conditions will cause a very high fire danger across the Northern Slopes and New England districts. 

Lets hope that new fires don’t flare up again and that some people get some rain! Detailed in-house Higgins rainfall and thunderstorm risk maps are available for SEQLD and NENSW. Click here or on the image below for more information and to subscribe!