UPDATED 31st January 2018. The Tropical Low and Tropical Cyclone WATCH for QLD is now cancelled. The monsoon trough lies across Cape York. A monsoon low is likely to develop along the trough in the Coral Sea off the North QLD coast late on Wednesday or Thursday. This low is likely to move East away from QLD. Latest data suggests there is now only a low chance of cyclone development on Friday, Saturday & Sunday. Image via Tropical Tidbits.
Posted 30th January 2018.
We have issued a Tropical Low and Tropical Cyclone WATCH for the Coral Sea and Queensland Coast this week.
At 11am on Tuesday a monsoon trough lies across Cape York Peninsula which is producing heavy rain and thunderstorms. Weipa has recorded over 200mm during the past 30hrs.
During Wednesday a Monsoon Low is forecast to develop along the trough to the North East of Cairns in the Coral Sea.
On Thursday the system is expected to detach from the monsoon trough and further intensify into a Tropical Low to be located East North East of Cairns and Townsville.
Global model data suggests there is a moderate risk for the system to develop into a Tropical Cyclone on Friday while tracking West towards the North QLD coast. The risk for Tropical Cyclone development on Saturday increases to High.
It is unclear at this stage if the system will track close enough to cause damaging impacts to the coast however people along the Central and North QLD Coasts from Mackay to Cooktown should closely monitor further forecast updates. Have your cyclone emergency kits ready and a plan in place.