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21 06, 2019

Honouring A Legacy For The Ages: Dale Sharpe, DK Photography

2019-06-21T17:03:13+10:00

While we as friends of Dale, and the community as supporters of Dale, grieve for his early and all too soon departure of this life. Its important for us to cherish and pay homage to this amazing man’s work. Its fair to say that the photography world will forever have an irreplaceable hole, left by Dale, due to his simply phenomenal eye for detail, and his energy to strive for literal perfection in a near impossible environment to achieve such feats. The amazing thing is, even though it was nearly impossible… he defied the odds time and time again, producing masterpieces that all of us, even his closest friends, were left stunned and wanting more.

Arguably the greatest of loves from Dale, outside of his family and friends, was his love of storms. He traveled often all around Australia seeking out not just the most intense moments of mother nature, but also the most graceful and photogenic moments – often creating perfection out of nearly nothing. Dale often travelled across South East QLD and North East NSW for storms, but also ventured in Inland NSW, Inland QLD, rural South Australia and Southern Western Australia where his love of crops, dead trees, lakes and storms as a combination was maximised. Even if we could’ve shared every single photo posted by Dale, it wouldn’t give his work justice as he had hundreds of photos sitting and waiting to be posted for every single one that was posted. His love for storms took him to the pinnacle of storm chasing, tornado alley, where he captured scene you could only dream of. Using the words “perfection”, “amazing”, “masterpiece”, don’t do it justice. But here are some of his works of art that took the world by storm.

Russel Springs, Kansas, USA

McAllastar, Kansas, USA

Byron Bay, NSW, Australia

Goondiwindi, QLD, Australia

The Wheatbelt, WA, Australia

Brisbane, QLD, Australia

While it may not have been his greatest of loves, his work with Iceland and the Northern Lights was arguably his greatest work. He had an ability to capture magic and this lead to the production of some tours which he hosted several times per year across the island. He did several tours across the latter part of the calendar year and the start of the New Year which were often sold out many months in advance – not just because people wanted to go, but they wanted to go with the best of the best. This is where he wowed the world by proposing to his fiancee and good friend of ours, Karlie, with the shot of a lifetime. It wasn’t just the aurora either. Dale found so much beauty across the region, with countless waterfalls and sunsets that would leave you breathless.

The Proposal.

Akranes, Iceland

Kirkjufellsfoss, Iceland

Reine, Norway

Hamnoy, Lofoten, Norway

Kirkjufellfoss, Iceland

Flakstadoya, Norway

Outside of his love of the aurora, and thunderstorms, he honestly just loved getting out, going for a drive and finding somewhere to photograph across Australia, or even hopping on a plane and heading to New Zealand, Patagonia, Iceland, Norway, the United States… or where ever his heart desired. Whether it was unique, or a common photography hunting ground where he challenged himself to add the “Dale twist”, the final product MADE you WANT to go there and see it for yourself. This included landmarks, astrophotography, waterfalls, valleys, canyons – you name it. All we can do is marvel at some of his final pieces.

Spa Pool, Hammersley Gorge, WA.

The Pinnacles, Western Australia

Horseshoe Bend, Arizona

Church of Good Shepherd, New Zealand

Horse Head Rock, NSW

Narrabri, NSW

Dale, and Karlie as a combination of DK Photography, MASTERED several avenues of the photography world. One of these avenues was the art of Wedding Photography. Their wedding photos were graceful, they were peaceful. You could feel the love gushing out of the photos that were presented. They captured moments you could only dream of getting on that special day. Its for this reason, they were often booked out weekend after weekend after weekend to do weddings.

 

HSC’s own Jeff & Sara photographed on their special day by Dale & Karlie

 

It would be easy to share another 200 photos and be just as amazed every single time. At the end of the day though, this man – a father, a loving partner, a son and a friend to so many, was taken way too soon, in the prime of his career and life. We are all extremely hurt and extremely saddened by his parting, but at the same time we are all so very honoured and privileged to have known him, chased with him, found wisdom and guidance from him and even shared a meal with him. He was a man who lit up the room as soon as he walked through the door – a door that was always open in everyone’s home for him and Karlie. His work and legacy needs to be appreciated for eternity because not only was he a legend and true master of his craft, but we may never get the privilege of knowing someone even remotely close to his ability and caring nature again. 

Honouring A Legacy For The Ages: Dale Sharpe, DK Photography2019-06-21T17:03:13+10:00
26 02, 2019

An Apology From Higgins Storm Chasing

2019-02-26T22:53:58+10:00

On the 26th February, 2019 an article was published by the Courier Mail and other media about Higgins Storm Chasing and comments we have recently made.

We wish to make clear that we were never forced to offer an apology, despite headlines stating this as fact.

On Sunday 24th February, I proactively contacted a person who I made abusive and threatening remarks to and have apologised for my actions. My apology was welcomed with return apologies for their original provoking post.

I wish to offer an unreserved apology to anyone who has been affected or offended by my or other administrator’s comments or private messages.  The language we have used is unacceptable and should never be used either publicly or privately.

We are working on ways to better handle the stresses of supporting our business and our admins are being taught better coping skills to deal with the abuse that we sometimes receive

Regardless of these stresses, this is no excuse to treat others with disrespect.

I and my team are implementing better procedures to cope with the increased pressures of social media and the demands often placed on us.

I am very appreciative of the support we do receive, and I wish to thank everyone who supports our work and passion for weather.

We wish to welcome open and intelligent debate on our posts.  Those who wish to share different views are welcome to do so, however we ask that they are done with respect to us and others.

I and my team are looking forward to providing a better service to our customers and greater public.

Thank you,
Jeff Higgins
Higgins Storm Chasing

An Apology From Higgins Storm Chasing2019-02-26T22:53:58+10:00
2 02, 2019

Rainfall Summary for February 2nd 2019 – Townsville Flood Event

2019-02-02T10:18:14+10:00

Over the past 24 hours we’ve seen more areas hit the 300mm mark across the Greater Townsville region, leading to 6 day accumulative totals well and truly starting to become widespread in excess of 750mm and scattered over 900mm! The promising thing from the entire event now is that widespread good falls are starting to accumulate across Northern Inland and North West QLD following some station records over the past few days. Above image showing the severe flash flooding at Mt Margaret which prompted an emergency alert Saturday morning. Image via Josh Dodd

 

Across North QLD the heaviest falls were once again in the Greater Townsville region:
• Woolshed 369mm
• Mt Margaret 363mm
• Saunders Creek 346mm
• Stony Creek 328mm
• Deeragun 316mm
• Texas Road 287mm
• Dalrymple Road 283mm
• Mt Bohle 274mm
• Black River 273mm
• Little Bohle River 271mm
• Paluma 261mm
• Upper Black River 259mm
• Bushland Beach 240mm
• The Pinnacles 237mm
• Rollingstone 199mm

Greater Townsville Rainfall via BOM in the 24hrs to 9am Saturday

 

 

6 day rainfall totals across the region (22 locations in excess of 900mm now, 7 locations in excess of 1000mm):
• Paluma 1384mm
• Woolshed 1354mm (941mm in 3 days)
• Paluma Alert 1297mm
• Sandy Plateau 1282mm
• Upper Black River 1246mm
• Mt Margaret 1160mm
• Rollingstone 1040mm
• Saunders Creek 983mm

Notes:
• Woolshed has now recorded 4 straight 200mm days and 3 straight days of 286mm or more
• Upper Bluewater, Paluma, Rollingstone have all recorded 6 straight days in excess of 100mm
• Multiple locations have recorded 2 or 3 straight days of 200mm+ and back to back 300mm days

Across the North West and Northern Inland QLD we’ve seen some phenomenal rainfall including Cloncurry breaking its Airport record. The old town gauge has a higher February daily total, however the Airport which takes the current data for Cloncurry broke its February record. Mt Isa also recorded its wettest day in 18 years!
• Cloncurry 178mm  -New Airport record for February
• Doughboy Creek 148mm
• May Downs 130mm
• Mt Isa 123mm – Highest daily total since February 2001!
• Julius Dam 107mm (257mm in 2 days)
• Trepell 104mm
• Richmond 73mm (328mm in 5 days)
• Normanton 70mm

24hr Rainfall across Northern QLD via BOM

 

Rainfall Summary for February 2nd 2019 – Townsville Flood Event2019-02-02T10:18:14+10:00
13 09, 2018

Dangerous Potential 24hrs Out From Life Threatening Florence Landfall

2018-09-13T19:22:10+10:00

Issued 6:30PM Thursday September 13th 2018. Hurricane Florence has thankfully weakened significantly over the past 6-12 hours, but the life threatening risk is still massive in regards to catastrophic flooding and storm surge. Above image: Simulated Satellite via HWRF / Tropicaltidbits.

Over the past 12 hours or so, Florence has interacted with some unfavourable conditions that have allowed the system to thankfully weaken. It has significantly weakened from a Category 4, almost Category 5 beast, into a now Category 2 system. In saying that, the system is still likely to produce 110mph (175km/h) winds on landfall, with higher gusts likely. The issue was never about the wind though, thats just a side note with a system like this.

National Hurricane Center Official Forecast Track for Florence.

 

The big threat, has always been, and is still, the CATASTROPHIC FLOODING and EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE which are highly likely to cause a SIGNIFICANT risk to human and animal life. Residents are continuing to be ordered and pleaded to evacuate off the Coastline of both North Carolina and South Carolina. Why the system is still posing this horrific threat is because a ridge (as expected) has built to the North and West. This has helped cause the system to weaken, but its also expected to make the system slow down and even stall ON LANDFALL, and then cause Florence to hug the Coast as it tracks slowly South ALONG the Coast.

Rainfall totals (white >400mm) showing a MASSIVE flood potential over North Carolina and South Carolina via Windy

This will greatly increase the width of the storm surge threat and cause TORRENTIAL rainfall over North Carolina and VERY HEAVY FLOODING rainfall over South Carolina and through adjacent Inland regions of both States. Falls of more than 700mm are likely in isolated areas over North Carolina with widespread falls of 250-500mm from North of Charleston, South Carolina to Morehead City, North Carolina including Myrtle Beach and Wilmington. This rainfall is likely to combine with a 6-13/15ft storm surge along the Coastline which is likely to cause a significant and life threatening threat. The combination of these 2 events are expected to be unprecedented for the region and lead to entire buildings potentially being submgered, the geographic landscape of the North Carolina Outer Banks being changed forever, catastrophic flooding which may isolate areas for more than a week along with cut roads and highways, downed powerlines, downed trees and emergency assistance becoming extremely limited in the early aftermath.

We continue to urge people who haven’t left, to leave. This kind of event hasn’t been experienced before. Yes Hazel produced a bigger storm surge, yes Hugo was a stronger system, yes Floyd was horrific… but none of these systems produced this kind of rainfall and this kind of storm surge together, simultaneously.

Overall threats with a wind gust base map via Windy

Dangerous Potential 24hrs Out From Life Threatening Florence Landfall2018-09-13T19:22:10+10:00
2 08, 2018

Queensland Drought: The miserable tale of 2 seasons

2018-08-02T16:15:23+10:00

When looking at Queensland’s half yearly rainfall, its so easy to explain. Everything just makes sense and fits into place… but at the same time, its amazing a slight change can alter reality so drastically. During this detailed write up, the goal is to not only explain why some areas have the rainfall anomalies that they do, but also explain how this has not only sped up or worsened the ongoing drought but also created a new drought for other areas. 

 

Starting in the North… The majority of the Peninsula is below average and this can be solely attributed to a lack of monsoonal activity during the peak of the Cyclone season. The majority of monsoon troughs stayed North of the Peninsula and over the Northern Gulf / Coral Sea, this ultimately reduced monsoon rain but also thunderstorm activity. Ironically Mornington Island was well above average and this is courtesy of Cyclone Nora which produced very minimal rainfall over the Western Peninsula, but camped over the Southern Gulf leading to excessive rainfall across numerous days through the Gulf Islands. 

Moving into the only real above average area in Queensland, Far North QLD. From about Ingham to Cooktown, Inland to just beyond the Ranges… this area benefited from countless small scale lows and monsoonal flow generated from an extensive period during late February and March. South Johnstone, near Tully, is sitting at 4053mm for the first 6 months of 2018, a massive 1333mm above average. March alone generated more than 2300mm of rain for the region! Nearby Cairns has had more than 2100mm for 2018 so far and Tully even more.

As you move down the Coast though you can see what happens under the influence of a failed wet season. Mackay has the greatest deficiency in QLD, sitting over 600mm below average. Normally 1307mm will fall in the first 6 months of any given year, however 2018 has generated just 705mm. Some people may think thats still okay, its 700mm… however the area is a large part of the sugar cane industry, an industry that NEEDS average or above average rainfall, any less and not only is the current harvest weak, but future harvests suffer too. Given future rainfall forecasts and current deficiencies, Mackay could be on the brink of their own drought which would be detrimental to the sugar cane industry. Further South over the Capricornia and Wide Bay… its bad also, with most areas 150-300mm below average.

 

In South East QLD, its amazing what a good or bad storm season can do. Most of the area is below average, however Greater Brisbane and Ipswich sit only fractionally below, while the Scenic Rim is mostly on average. This perfectly illustrates how storms acted all season, with most storm days featuring the Scenic Rim and Greater Brisbane, but rarely the Sunshine Coast or Gold Coast which sit well below average. 

Then there is Inland QLD, the area has copped failed wet seasons for years, a failed 2017-18 storm season and a mind blowing hot Summer. The only exceptions to this are the Far North West where parts of the region saw flooding rainfall in March (but thats the only rain all year) and the Central Highlands where some slightly more frequent storm activity helped keep things ticking along. Southern Inland and South West QLD have seen nothing – storms were too isolated, the winter fronts havent reached QLD and if they have… they’ve been dry. The heatwaves made any rainfall rapidly dry up. 

 

Its easy to see how more than 60% of QLD is under the effects of a bad drought, however the worrying thing is… with the current deficiencies in some non-drought regions and the futuristic rainfall outlooks, that percentage is no doubt bound to rise!

QLD Rainfall Deficiency

Queensland Drought: The miserable tale of 2 seasons2018-08-02T16:15:23+10:00
22 04, 2018

[UPDATED] Hailstorm threat for NENSW and SEQLD on Monday

2018-06-14T16:12:11+10:00

South East QLD and North East NSW are seeing the potential for one of the more active hail days of the soon to be finished storm season as a cold pool moves overhead on Monday. Above image via BSCH showing severe weather threat indices for Monday.

 

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Its not too common that we see a forecast that would be more suited for Victoria or Southern NSW, over the South East QLD and North East NSW region, but that appears to be the case for Monday. A very weak surface trough is forecast to become positioned along or near the Ranges through NENSW and SEQLD. This will continue to produce an onshore South East flow over both areas during the day (similarly to the last week or so) and this will combine with strong upper trough moving directly overhead. 

 

Upper level air temperature showing a large cold pool over SEQLD and NENSW via BSCH

Upper level air temperature showing a large cold pool over SEQLD and NENSW via BSCH

 

 

For Monday, we are seeing reasonable energy levels in the atmosphere – especially over the Wide Bay and Northern Rivers regions. This energy will allow thunderstorms to develop a little better with the updrafts reaching elevated heights. What that means is that storms are likely to tap into the much colder air much easier. Models are also indicating that storms are going to be very slow moving towards the North to North East. This setup means that any storms that do develop are likely to contain hail, and given the slow movement we could easily see noticeable hail accumulations directly under storms where it could hail for 15 or 20mins and cover the entire ground making it potentially look like snow. There is a chance of some severe cells too which are more likely to be over the Northern Rivers and Northern Tablelands areas, which could lead to localised areas of large hail. Heavy bursts of rain are another threat, but the noted threat for the day is definitely hail. 

 

Steering winds via BSCH showing the direction that storms are expected to move

Steering winds via BSCH showing the direction that storms are expected to move

 

 

Southern Inland parts of the South East Coast (i.e the Scenic Rim) and Northern Rivers are at the highest risk for thunderstorms given the reasonable or even very good moisture levels. While there is a threat for the Wide Bay and Sunshine Coast / Brisbane Valley, a lack of moisture caused by a tongue of dry air intruding is expected to hinder potential. That doesn’t mean storms won’t occur, just they appear to be far more likely over NENSW than the Wide Bay.

 

Energy (CAPE) levels via BSCH. The higher the number, the more energy in the atmosphere. This is just a base indicator and localised higher or lower totals are possible.

Energy (CAPE) levels via BSCH. The higher the number, the more energy in the atmosphere. This is just a base indicator and localised higher or lower totals are possible.

 

***Note: Copyright material NOT for media use, broadcast or republishing without express permission from Higgins Storm Chasing***

 

[UPDATED] Hailstorm threat for NENSW and SEQLD on Monday2018-06-14T16:12:11+10:00
31 01, 2018

Generous Monsoon breaks Tropical Records!

2018-06-14T16:12:45+10:00

It was the monsoon that kept on giving, and now for MANY locations its delivered not only some of the best rain in years… but its actually broken LONG STANDING January records! Heres a breakdown of how the month transpired… Above image via BOM (Monthly rainfall colour map)


The monsoon came through in 2 different waves, one earlier in the month that lasted around a week or so, the second towards the end of the month which lasted about the last 2 weeks. There was no real break in between the two which helped keep the rainfall build up going, and for those who missed out on one day… the dome eventually broke. Cyclone Joyce was an added bonus for the NW NT and Northern WA region, while a series of tropical lows helped boost the Northern QLD totals, and a deep tropical low brought phenomenal rainfall to WA.

 

Forecast mid level winds via EC showing 3 tropical low's situated along the Monsoon Trough on Wednesday (January 24th) via Windy

Forecast mid level winds via EC showing 3 tropical low’s situated along the Monsoon Trough on Wednesday (January 24th) via Windy

 

Thats all well and good to have the above, but it always comes down to numbers with these kinds of accumulative setups, so what were the numbers really like (note, bolded locations and totals indicates a new January or All-Time Record)?

More than 1000mm fell in a few locations
Kangaroo Flats (SE of Darwin) (NT) 1185mm

West Roebuck (WA) 1073mm
Mount Bundey South (NT) 1026mm

For these areas, Kangaroo Flats recorded an insane 4 straight days of 100mm+ (the only location to do so), as well as 6 days above 100mm for the month (again the only location). West Roebuck recorded the highest daily total in the country with 449mm and 673mm in just 5 days.

 

The deep tropical low (Invest 90P) which delivered over 400mm to Broome and West Roebuck in 24hrs, and 600mm+ in a week to the NW NT

The deep tropical low (Invest 90P) which delivered over 400mm to Broome and West Roebuck in 24hrs, and 600mm+ in a week to the NW NT

 

 

The more populated areas were hit with falls of 800-1000mm which brought flash and some river/creek flooding.
• Bing Bong Port (NT) 967.6mm

Milingimbi (NT) 933.8mm
Broome (WA) 915.6mm
Channel Point (NT) 908mm
Centre Island (NT) 891.2mm
• Darwin (NT) 857.2mm
• Scherger RAAF (QLD) 819.6mm
Ngayawili (NT) 817.6mm

Within these areas, Scherger RAAF recorded 351.8mm in the last 2 days of the month, Centre Island scored 534mm in 4 days. Broome cracked 673mm in 5 days which included their second highest daily total on record of 412mm and Darwin amassed 637mm in the last 10 days of the month. Bing Bong Port was also the only location to record 2 200mm days.

 

Weekly NT Rainfall via BOM

Weekly NT Rainfall via BOM

 

 

Further significant rainfall was also recorded across remaining parts of the NT and across the Tropics of QLD with scattered falls of 500mm (not every 500mm total is included here because there are a heap of them).
• Weipa (QLD) 704.8mm

• Derby (WA) 683.2mm
• Hazelmere (QLD) 680.5mm
• Borroloola (NT) 666.2mm

• Cairns Airport (QLD) 664.6mm
• Bidyadanga (WA) 608.7mm
• Mornington Island (QLD) 595.4mm

• Cooktown (QLD) 579.6mm
• Cairns City (QLD) 552mm
• Coconut Island (QLD) 540.2mm

Curtin (NT) 517.6mm
• South Johnstone (QLD) 510.2mm

In these areas, Hazelmere amassed 320mm in 1 day, Cooktown 241mm in 1 day, Weipa 371mm in the last 2 days of the month. Derby scored 2 200mm+ 4 day blocks, which helps show that it wasn’t a one hit wonder. While Cairns got 3 days of more than 100mm helping it become the wettest January since 2010.

 

Monthly rainfall over Tropical NQLD. Red circle indicates the first monsoon burst, the purple circle indicates the 2nd monsoon burst. Image via BOM

Monthly rainfall over Tropical NQLD. Red circle indicates the first monsoon burst, the purple circle indicates the 2nd monsoon burst. Image via BOM

 

Generous Monsoon breaks Tropical Records!2018-06-14T16:12:45+10:00
8 07, 2017

Rare Phenomenon covers South-East QLD & Brisbane City

2018-06-14T16:14:01+10:00

A rare phenomenon swept Brisbane yesterday creating the perfect opportunity for those out and about to grab snaps. Above image via Geoff Locke


The phenomenon is simply known as very low clouds… it doesn’t sound exciting or interesting, but it only happens about once a year and those in Brisbane City got a first hand glance of it. It appears as fog, and many people messaged into the page asking about the “fog that was lingering” but in reality it was an usual and specific combination that allowed for cloud bases to drop to as low as 100m in some places, and even lower in others as the evening progressed. The process is simple, but its very specific in the process of which it occurs.

The Reds game was near impossible to watch as the cloud engulfed Suncorp. Image via James Caughlin

The Reds game was near impossible to watch as the cloud engulfed Suncorp. Image via James Caughlin

 


Morning rain and storms hit Brisbane and much of South-East QLD during Friday morning which allowed for low level moisture to linger for much of the day as it became trapped under thick cloud and wasn’t allowed to evaporate. As the day progressed, the sun struggled to peak through and this allowed the second chain in the process to occur and that was cold temperatures. Brisbane experienced its coldest day in 3 years yesterday and it doesn’t matter if it wasn’t cold in reality… for the region, it was. The increased moisture caused by showers in the atmosphere allowed for the third chain in the process to occur and thats where the increased moisture mixing with cooler temperatures and surface humidity allows clouds to descend and act as fog.

Horse riding in the clouds at Ocean View via Natasha Koning

Horse riding in the clouds at Ocean View via Natasha Koning

Click below to view the image carousel featuring several images sent in by followers from across the region.

The cloud coverage was so thick that only the tops of Brisbane’s highest buildings were visible at Mount Coot-tha, the Airport experienced heavy delays and commuters required headlights in the middle of the day to drive on some of the most open roads in the region. Its not often this occurs, as stated above, but when it does – some of the photos are simply breath-taking.

Brisbane flight delays last night via Jessica Urquhart

Brisbane flight delays last night via Jessica Urquhart

Planes in a holding pattern and grounded at Maroochydore en route to Brisbane, with delays to the Gold Coast via Kristy Collins

Planes in a holding pattern and grounded at Maroochydore en route to Brisbane, with delays to the Gold Coast via Kristy Collins

 

 

Rare Phenomenon covers South-East QLD & Brisbane City2018-06-14T16:14:01+10:00
3 07, 2017

Forecast Discussion: Good snow incoming for Snowy Mountains

2018-06-14T16:14:01+10:00

A cold front is in the process of sweeping across Inland NSW and VIC with a low pressure region noted over the Bight which is likely to help trigger snow over the Snowy Mountains for the next 48hrs. Above image via BOM – Himawari Satellite


The current synoptic setup assisted by satellite and radar imagery shows a cold front which is just passing through Central Victoria and Inland NSW at the moment. This cold front is linked to a low pressure region (a series of about 3 low pressure centres) situated over the Great Australian Bight. This cold front has helped generated reasonable showers across much of Western and Central VIC already today with falls of 10-15mm over the West and up to 20mm so far over Central / Northern Districts so far. Strong to damaging winds have also been noted with gusts of 98km/h over Mount Hotham, 82km/h over Mt Buller and Mt William. Gusts may increase, along with shower activity as the front moves over later this afternoon through Eastern VIC and the Snowy Mountains.

Weatherzone satellite / radar showing activity already over Central VIC

Weatherzone satellite / radar showing activity already over Central VIC

 


Behind this front, the low pressure region is expected to move towards the East to South-East later today and overnight tonight. This shift in positioning will allow for cold air to be dragged up behind the low and interact with increased moisture coming out of the South-West across VIC to generate idealistic conditions for snow to occur down to around 1500m across the Snowy Mountains. This should lower to 1200m and possibly 1100m or 1000m during Tuesday as the components required all peak (temperatures being at their lowest, moisture being at its highest). This will allow for snow showers (which have already started over the Snowy’s) to continue from Monday night until Wednesday morning and good falls of 25-40cm likely and the potential for 50cm+. 

Snowfall forecast via WindyTV / ECMWF for the Snowy Mountains

Snowfall forecast via WindyTV / ECMWF for the Snowy Mountains


This isn’t the only system this week with another heavy dumping expected before the weekend. So if it is possible, then be sure to make a late school holiday dash to soak up some of the winter wonderland which has been lacking over the Snowy Mountains this season so far.

Forecast Discussion: Good snow incoming for Snowy Mountains2018-06-14T16:14:01+10:00
2 07, 2017

Good Snow Dumping just in time for School Holidays

2018-06-14T16:14:02+10:00

The Snowy Mountains are expected to benefit from a winter blast over the next few days with the best snow of the season so far expected to arrive just in time for resorts to benefit from a holiday rush. Above image: Forecast snowfall via WindyTV


During Monday, a low pressure region is expected to become situated over the Bight, with a cold front / trough system extending up through Western VIC and Inland. During Monday afternoon and evening, this trough / cold front is expected to sweep through bring some strong winds to elevated regions along with isolated showers across both much of Inland NSW and scattered showers across much of VIC. Behind this system though, a pool of ‘cold enough’ air is expected to creep up from the Southern Bight and move over the South-East corner of Australia. This pool of ‘cold enough’ air is expected to linger through Tuesday to allow snowfall to continue before easing back on Wednesday as the lower level cooling warms up and conditions become heavily reliant on upper level activity.

So for the snowfall, up to 50cm, yes half a metre, is expected across parts of the NSW Snowy Mountains and 30-40cm is expected across the VIC Snowy Mountains. Good moisture should remain active over the Snowy Mountain region which will allow for nearly all precipitation to become snowfall during Monday afternoon until Wednesday morning. The small difference in totals is expected to come from the peak cooling remaining over NSW throughout the snow period. Despite the very good totals that are expected, snowfall is only expected to fall down to around 1200m and this is due to the cold burst of air only being -2ºc at 1500m ASL. This is perfect timing after such a poor start to the season, the ski resorts can hopefully salvage something from this occurring during school holidays.

Forecast températures at 1500m ASL during Tuesday morning via WindyTV / ECMWF

Forecast températures at 1500m ASL during Tuesday morning via WindyTV / ECMWF

 

 

As for the other weather associated with this system, scattered showers with falls of 5-15mm are expected across VIC and better falls (stated above) across the Snowy Mountains. Reasonable falls of 5-10mm are expected across Southern NSW / ACT also. The rainfall and cloud cover should keep maximum temperatures down on normal, but thankfully minimums should come back to at least normal if not slightly above average after the deep freeze experienced over Saturday and Sunday morning.

ECMWF / WindyTV - Forecast 3 day rainfall with blue being around 10mm and green / aqua being as much as 25mm

ECMWF / WindyTV – Forecast 3 day rainfall with blue being around 10mm and green / aqua being as much as 25mm

 

 

Good Snow Dumping just in time for School Holidays2018-06-14T16:14:02+10:00