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28 01, 2019

Where Has SEQLD & NENSW Rain & Storms Gone??

In the last 15 years, Brisbane has only had 1 drier January (last year by 1mm less than this year). In the past 15 years, the lowest rainfall total for January at Ipswich was 54mm…. this year its a measly 5mm! I bet those in Toowoomba didn’t think they could top last years pathetic 8.6mm, well this January the region has only received 4.8mm – the driest January in 20 years. Dalby has picked up just 0.2mm – its driest January in 25 years. Beaudesert just 2mm. Kingaroy 0.8mm (driest January in 15 years). While in North East NSW, Lismore, Casino, Grafton and Coffs Harbour all broke their records for the longest continuous run of days without any rain being recorded – some of those streaks were over 120 years old!

 

 

So where did all the rain go?
Gatton has recorded 14 consecutive days above 35ºc – potentially a new record. Brisbane has recorded 13 straight days above 32ºc, Ipswich 33 straight days above 30ºc. So there certainly isn’t a lack of heat across the region. The days have been constantly warm and muggy. Most of us know that means storms are brewing. However we havent seen a storm North of the Gold Coast now in about 6 weeks. The only 2 storm days since about Mid December have been over the Gold Coast and Gold Coast Hinterland region. Of course, this is making people frustrated… lawns are dying, local dams and watering holes are drying up, tanks are down to the bare minimum now.

 

 

Its all because of 2 things. 1) We have a constant high pressure ridge which has bene sitting over the Tasman Sea (this is partially responsible for the 3-4 week endless heatwave over the rest of Australia, and part of the reason why Eastern QLD didn’t receive the extreme heat). Thats all well and good to have a high there, that doesn’t hurt anything. High’s over the Tasman Sea provide Eastern QLD with an onshore flow which help generate showers and storms… IF a trough is in place and 2) We havent had a trough. 

 

 

Essentially what is happening, is we are getting low level moisture streaming onto the QLD Coast South of Mackay and across North East NSW (North of Port Macquarie). This onshore flow is combining with warm air aloft which is producing these warm, above average temperatures with muggy humidity. The reason though that nothing has eventuated is because there is no trough in place.. that heat and humidity cant be lifted into the middle and upper levels of the atmosphere and become beneficial. At the moment, the heat is rising into much drier air aloft which is suppressing any shower potential. In laymen terms – think of it like a blowdryer. The moisture is rising up with the natural heating (hot air rises), then all of a sudden its hits this area of much drier air. Thats like a blow dryer killing that mediocre moisture content instantly. It might provide us with a cloud or two, but thats it. The evidence is obvious when comparing atmospheric soundings with each other. Below we have a sounding for Wednesday upcoming at Brisbane and the Greater Brisbane area – you can see circled in purple on the left, the red lines are closer together – this is some low level moisture (perfect!)… go up a little bit to around 5,000ft and BAM! In the yellow circle, those lines are ridiculously far apart. The computer generated model is indicating some very light showers over the region (as seen on the right), but if those showers were to go… because its so dry just above the surface… theyll last less than 5minutes and probably won’t even wet the ground fully. It’ll be a giant tease. Move over to Sunday though, and the sounding is very different. The red lines are much closer together. You can see the red lines are reasonably close up to around 25,000ft (its not perfect, but its better than having a giant hole in the middle of the image like Wednesday). This is indicating we have better moisture aloft, and that any moisture rising into the atmosphere is probably going to be allowed to do its thing – as a result of this, the computer generated rainfall prediction is showing much better rainfall potential on the right. 

 

Wednesday Sounding for Greater Brisbane showing dry air in the middle and upper levels of the atmosphere and very low level moisture – good for humidity, bad for rain. Image via BSCH.

 

These kinds of scenarios happen literally every week, if not multiple times a week across South East QLD and North East NSW during the Summer seasons. Thats why we have fine days. It might seem weird, but when the weather pattern doesn’t change for an extensive period of time, then that same scenario is replayed over and over and over and over again. Soon you have 30 days rain free and counting. Soon you have 55 days storm free. 

Will the rain return? Yes. Eventually things will change. How long will that be.. who knows. For some it could be much sooner than for others. Eventually the storms will return. Eventually we will probably be complaining about too much rain. Until then, we just need to buckle down, keep toughing it out and helping each other. Conditions will only get worse until the switch flicks and we see the greener grass on the other side.

Sunday February 3rd Sounding for Greater Brisbane showing increased shower potential. Image via BSCH

28 01, 2019

10AM 28/1/19 Heavy Rain Update for CQLD & NQLD

Residents between Cardwell and Mackay should get used to the rain for a while as multiple convergence zones are being detected on radar leading to a high chance of some heavy falls over the course of the next 6-12 hours along with some localised flash flooding. Above image via Weatherzone

 

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The main convergence zone appears to be over the Greater Townsville area, or more broadly… the Cardwell to Ayr region. Winds are veering from the North and North East, bending back around from the East across this region. This is leading to rain areas moving onshore and remaining fairly stationary once they hit land. Falls across this area in the past 24 hours of 100-200mm have been observed and a further 50-100mm is likely over the coming hours, with 100-200mm possible in some isolated areas within the next 12 hours if the system doesn’t budge. If the system starts to budge, then the risk of high end rainfall totals will reduce. Flash flooding is a high chance, especially through areas North of Townsville where the immediate threat is due to some heavier rain areas being indicated on radar along with the fact the heaviest past-24 hour totals have been in this area. Townsville itself isn’t out of the clear either, with 50-100mm in the past 24hrs and another day of continuous rain expected.

Greater Townsville 24hr Rainfall to 9am Monday morning via BOM

 

A small convergence zone, indicated by the red circle, is slowly moving South across the Whitsundays. This may enter Mackay over the coming hours. Due to the fact this is actually moving, albeit slow, there is a chance the rainfall totals won’t be too extreme. Although hourly falls of 15-30mm leading to accumulative totals of 50-100mm are likely over the next 12 hours and isolated higher falls under any storms are also possible. 

In the past 24hrs we’ve seen falls of 169mm at Hamilton Island, 153mm at Oconnell, 150mm at Stafford Crossing, 149mm at Preston, 144mm at Jubilee Pocket, 116mm at Proserpine and 50-110mm over the general Greater Mackay region.

24hr rainfall to 9am Monday morning via BOM

 

27 01, 2019

Half A Metre Of Rain Overnight Floods Tropical NQLD!

Tropical North QLD has just been drenched beyond belief with almost half a metre of rain falling overnight which has produced record flooding! Above image via Weatherzone showing the rain bomb over the region last night.

Its normal for North QLD to receive excessive amounts of rainfall during the monsoon season. Rainfall totals that the rest of Australia could only imagine seeing once in their lifetime’s, if ever at all.. But last night was a combination of excessive rainfall on top of saturated grounds which has proved too much for even the wet tropics of QLD and this has lead to extreme flooding across the region! 

 

The focus is around the Daintree and Mossman areas where converging rain areas produced up to half a metre of rain overnight. The Daintree River at Bairds lost its gauge, likely washed away, after it broke the 1956 record of 15.32m with a 15.40m recording. The Daintree River at Daintree Village broke its 1901 record of 12.4m with 12.6m as well. Locals have reported river rises in the region like something they’ve never seen before, with rates of up to a metre in less than hour occurring throughout various times of the night prior to peak levels being achieved. Thanks to rainfall easing earlier this morning, river levels are starting to drop quickly with most other areas seeing no more than moderate flooding for a brief period of time. This won’t climate the threat altogether though as we are expecting further excessive rainfall totals to occur on what is now not just saturated, but flooding grounds, over the Tropics over the next week.

Daintree River at Daintree Village breaking its record of 12.4m with 12.6m overnight. Image via BOM

 

Some the bigger 24hr totals..
• Whyanbeel Valley 472mm
• China Camp 425mm
• Whyanbeel Creek 416mm
• Saddle Mountain 387mm
• Mossman South 378mm
• Bairds 375mm
• Black Mountain 370mm
• Cairns Airport Alert 316mm
• Cairns Racecourse 282mm
• Cairns Airport 277mm – Highest daily total in 10 years
• White Cliff Point 263mm
• Kamerunga Bridge 258mm
• Hills Creek 240mm
• Low Isles 239mm – Highest daily total in 10 years
• The Boulders 234mm
• Brimnsmead 220mm
• Clyde Road 220mm
• Mount Sophia 220mm
• Copperlode Dam 219mm
• Peets Bridge 219mm
• Flaggy Creek 218mm
• Mona Mona 210mm
• Saltwater Creek 205mm
• Falls of 130-180mm across the South Cairns region
• Falls of 100-200mm across the Innisfail region
• We have seen reports of in excess of 500mm across localised areas and up to 700mm in some areas in the past 24 hours as well – albeit from unofficial gauges, however the flooding in these areas does support those claims.

 

High 2-day (48 hour) totals:
• Whyanbeel Valley 621mm
• Whyanbeel Creek 572mm
• China Camp 556mm
• Bairds 533mm
• Mossman South 497mm
• Black Mountain 488mm
• Saddle Mountain 458mm
• Peets Bridge 448mm (only location to have back to back 200mm days)
• Cairns Airport Alert 391mm

Additional Notes:
• Mona Mona and Flaggy Creek have now recorded 3 straight 100mm days with both locations up to around 450mm for the past 3 days.
• The Cairns Airport observation of 277mm was just 1mm shy of the the January 2009 total of 278mm. If this was exceeded, it would’ve been the heaviest daily total since January 1994 – 25 years ago! Certainly an impressive feat given the region usually sees one or two “high end” heavy rain days per year, sometimes more if tropical cyclones are in the vicinity. 

24hr rainfall totals via BOM including Whyanbeel Valley 472mm.

 

26 01, 2019

When Will The Heat End???

Over the past 4 weeks, since before Christmas, Australia has been smashed, battered, burnt and fried by 3 excessive, extensive and extreme heatwaves which have produced an insane number of records for dozens, if not more than 100 locations across the country, as well as some national records! The big question has been… when will the heat end??

 

 

Well there is good news. Thats it!! Done. Dusted. Over. Finished.

The run of excessive heat is over now for the immediate future across Australia. The good news too is that February ‘typically” doesn’t see extreme heat. We do get extensive periods of humid heat across the Northern half of the Country as the monsoon becomes more set in and relentless. Across the South however, there are 1 or 2 odd days of extreme heat (aka Black Saturday), but not like what we’ve just seen. So “hopefully” this is it for the remainder of the hot season. 

 

OCF Maximums for AUS on Sunday, Jan 27th via BSCH

 

 

The reasoning behind the end of the heat is a series of weak high pressure systems are expected to move across Southern Australia, drawing in onshore winds over the region. Some above average heat is expected across Southern Australian areas ahead of each high as Northerly winds get drawn down (i.e. 35ºc in Adelaide on Tuesday, 38ºc on Wednesday, 33ºc in Melbourne both days as well). But the peak high’s aren’t expected to be as vigorous or excessive as what we’ve just seen, due to the weak nature of the high pressure systems as well as the faster speed at which they are travelling. A low pressure system moving over North West QLD and into the Northern Territory will help drag some increased moisture into Central Australia as well which will help cool things, so those Northerly winds coming out of Australia are essentially coming out of a tropical system, rather than a baked desert. 

 

OCF Maximums for AUS on Wednesday, Jan 30th via BSCH

 

 

Don’t start jumping up and down thinking Winter is coming… its not going to get “cold” by any means. Just the widespread 45ºc heat is expected to become virtually non existent over the next week and typically February doesn’t see many “45ºc days”, and the 40ºc heat over areas that have seen relentless 40ºc heat is expected to shrink and become very confined to localised areas most days. Most places across Inland AUS should return back to normal for this time of year. Unfortunately for some, like Bourke and Tibooburra, their run of consecutive 40ºc days may still reach record stretches, but at least now the temperatures will be on the lower end of the 40ºc spectrum rather than the mid to high 40’s. Coastal parts of QLD are still expected to see muggy 30-35ºc temperatures, but at least the “heatwaves” have avoided these areas thanks to constant onshore winds.

 

OCF Maximums for AUS on Saturday, Feb 2nd via BSCH

 

26 01, 2019

Another Day Of Extreme Heat Comes To A Close – January 26th 2019

Yet another day of extreme heat has been observed across South West QLD, North East SA and large parts of NSW. More records revolving around heat streaks have been broken across the aforementioned regions. Thankfully today, the high end heating was very confined with only a handful of locations recording in excess of 45ºc – it doesn’t help though that many of these locations have been under the pump for consecutive weeks now! 

 

 

Top temperatures:
• Noona (NSW) 47.2ºc
• Borrona Downs (NSW) 46.3ºc
• Bourke (NSW) 46.3ºc
• Condoblin (NSW) 46.3ºc**
• Cobar (NSW) 46.2ºc
• Ballera (QLD) 46.0ºc
• Delta (NSW) 46.0ºc
• Tibooburra (NSW) 46.0ºc
• Cobar Airport (NSW) 45.9ºc
• Mount Hope (NSW) 45.8ºc
• Moomba (SA) 45.6ºc
• West Wyalong (NSW) 45.4ºc
• White Cliffs (NSW) 45.2ºc
• Forbes (NSW) 45.1ºc

 

 

Additional notes: 
• Condoblin’s maximum of 46.3ºc would’ve been a new all-time record had it not been for 46.7ºc being recorded earlier in the month.
• Young near the ACT has recorded 43.5ºc which is a new all-time record for the station, beating 43.0ºc recorded in February 2017.
• Temperatures in the Hunter Valley pushed the 43-44ºc mark which is up to 12-14ºc above average. 
• Tibooburra has now recorded 17 straight days above 40ºc – this beats the previous record set back in January 1979 of 16 straight days. This is also the first time the station has recorded 5 consecutive 45ºc days.
• Canberra (not listed) reached 41.5ºc – this is the 5th time this month Canberra has reached 40ºc+ which is potentially a new record for a singular month.
• Goulburn (not listed) reached 40.6ºc – this is just 0.1ºc shy of a new all-time record, as well as becoming a new January record (beating 40.4ºc set in 1999).
• Bourke has recorded 18 consecutive days above 40ºc. This is the second most consecutive days above 40ºc for the station since 1896 when the record of 22 was set. That record may be broken next week with another 5 days of 40ºc+ forecast for Bourke.

 

 

26 01, 2019

Australia’s Hottest Night Recorded Twice! – January 26th 2019

Another night of scorching heat across Inland NSW, Northern SA and South West QLD has seen more records fall including the Australian record for hottest night after Borrona Downs smashed it by almost 1ºc! Ballera in QLD also broke the State record initially held by Cunnamulla and Moomba in SA broke the State record initially held by Andamooka – however this would’ve been a new National record had it not been for Borrona Downs!

Top Temperatures:
• Borrona Downs (NSW) 36.6ºc – New Australian Record 
• Moomba (SA) 36.1ºc – New South Australian Record
• Ballera (QLD) 35.1ºc – New Queensland Record
• Tibooburra (NSW) 34.8ºc – New all-time record
• Delta (NSW) 34.4ºc
• Thargomindah (QLD) 34.0ºc – New all-time record
• Bourke (NSW) 33.5ºc – New all-time record
• White Cliffs (NSW) 32.9ºc


• Noona (NSW) 32.4ºc
• Smithville (NSW) 31.4ºc
• Wilcannia (NSW) 31.3ºc
• Brewon (NSW) 31.2ºc
• Cobar (NSW) 31.2ºc
• Birdsville (QLD) 31.0ºc
• Cobar Airport (NSW) 30.9ºc
• Condoblin (NSW) 30,6ºc
• Girilambone (NSW) 30.5ºc
• Walgett (NSW) 30.3ºc
• West Wyalong (NSW) 30.0ºc

 

Additional Notes:
• The 36.6ºc recorded by Borrona Downs breaks the pre-2019 Australian record by 1.1ºc, whilst smashing the current record set last week at Noona by 0.7ºc. 
• This was the 4th time this month Borrona Downs has recorded 35.0ºc+ as a minimum. Prior to 2019 – it had never been recorded in NSW. This begs the question of historically, how hot has Borrona Downs been, given its a new weather station introduced into the area after Christmas.
• Moomba in SA would’ve had the new Australian record if it wasn’t for Borrona Downs recording a higher temperature. 
• Bourke’s 33.5ºc breaks its current standing record of 33.3ºc set back in 1939. However there are some questions about records with Bourke from 1909 during a prolonged and excessive heatwave. There may have been a hotter temperature during that event. Records date back to 1871 for the station!
• This was the 9th consecutive night for Birdsville to remain above 30ºc
• Albury (NSW) – Not listed – recorded 28.0ºc as a minimum. This breaks its January record by 1.2ºc!
• This is the 3rd time this month that Tibooburra has re-broken its January record

25 01, 2019

January & All-time Records broken in NSW & VIC – January 25th 2019

Another day of widespread significant heat has seen several locations bake to new January records (mostly in VIC, with the only hotter day in recorded history being Black Saturday). All up 10 locations recorded their hottest day’s with another 5 recording their new January record. While it wasn’t as significant as what its could’ve been, courtesy of the timing of the change – multiple locations have recorded temperatures in excess of 47ºc and 48ºc. 

 

Top temperatures (>45.0ºc):

• Menindee (NSW) 48.8ºc
• Wilcannia (NSW) 48.5ºc – All-time record
• Marree (SA) 48.0ºc
• Smithville (NSW) 48.0ºc
• Mulurulu (NSW) 47.8ºc
• Hay (NSW) 47.7ºc – Tied January record 
• Fowlers Gap (NSW) 47.5ºc – All-time record 
• Swan Hill (VIC) 47.5ºc – All-time record
• White Cliffs (NSW) 47.3ºc
• Deniliquin (NSW) 47.2ºc – Hottest day in 113 years
• Kyabram (VIC) 47.1ºc – All-time record
• Birdsville (QLD) 47.0ºc
• Ivanhoe (NSW) 47.0ºc
• Borrona Downs (NSW) 46.9ºc
• Moomba (SA) 46.5ºc
• Mangalore (VIC) 46.3ºc – All-time record
• Oodnadatta (SA) 46.3ºc
• Urana (NSW) 46.3ºc**
• Shepparton (VIC) 46.2ºc – All-time record
• Griffith (NSW) 46.1ºc*
• Redesdale (VIC) 46.1ºc – All-time record
• Broken Hill (NSW) 46.0ºc
• Leigh Creek (SA) 46.0ºc

 


• Melbourne Airport (VIC) 46.0ºc – January record
• Mount Hope (NSW) 45.9ºc
• Bairnsdale (VIC) 45.8ºc – January record, 0.4ºc shy of all-time record 
• Yarrawonga (VIC) 45.8ºc – January record, 0.2ºc shy of the all-time record
• Narrandera (NSW) 45.7ºc
• Yarram Airport (VIC) 45.7ºc
• Avalon (VIC) 45.6ºc
• Puckyapunyal (VIC) 45.6ºc
• Delta (NSW) 45.5ºc
• East Sale (VIC) 45.5ºc – All-time record
• Latrobe Valley (VIC) 45.5ºc – January record
• Noona (NSW) 45.5ºc
• Yanco (NSW) 45.5ºc
• Ballera (QLD) 45.4ºc
• Bendigo (VIC) 45.4ºc – January record / tied all-time record
• Essendon (VIC) 45.2ºc – Hottest day in 10 years
• Bourke (NSW) 45.1ºc
• Thargomindah (QLD) 45.1ºc
• Rutherglen (VIC) 45.0ºc

Additional Notes:


• The 48.5ºc as Wilcannia sits as equal 7th amongst highest temperatures for NSW on the BOM database. However there are questions surrounding the whereabouts of higher temperatures that would push it out of the top 10.
• Swan Hill has shattered its all-time record by 1.3ºc!
• Deniliquin has achieved something not often seen – where the hottest temperature in over a century hasn’t broken the all-time record. In January 1906, Deniliquin recorded 47.5ºc (just hotter than today), and the official record of 49.6ºc occurred back in 1878!
• Kyabram and Redesdale both broke their January records by a staggering 2.3ºc!
• Shepparton broke its January record by 1.9ºc!
• Mangalore broke its January record by 1.7ºc
• Narrandera has recorded 45ºc+ for the 5th time this month, thats a new record for any singular month.
• Not only is it an all-time record for East Sale, but the 45.5ºc temperature is the first time the station has ever exceeded 45ºc with records dating back 73 years and covering many of the big Victorian heatwaves!
• Orbost (not listed) recorded 44.5ºc which is their hottest January day in 37 years
• Mount Moornapa (not listed) broke their all-time record with 43.7ºc
• The data from Urana is based on an official portable weather station parked about 10mins outside of town. It recorded 46.3ºc at 4:10pm, however there is a chance it was briefly hotter than this.
• This is the 5th time this month Yanco has recorded 45.1ºc or greater. The all-time record prior to 2019, set in January of 2001 was 45.0ºc. 
• This is the 4th time this month that Ivanhoe has recorded 46.8ºc or greater – these are the 4 hottest January days for Ivanhoe since 1990.
• The 46.1ºc temperature at Griffith would’ve broken the January record, had it not been for 46.4ºc earlier in the month.

25 01, 2019

Records break in Overnight Scorcher!

Ahead of today’s extreme heat though Inland NSW, VIC and TAS… some hot overnight minimums have been recorded with long standing records being broken across several locations that typically see hot nights during extensive heatwaves such as the ones we’ve been experiencing as a nation lately!

 

 

Top minimums:
• Fowlers Gap (NSW) 35.1ºc – New all-time record
• Borrona Downs (NSW) 35.0ºc
• White Cliffs (NSW) 34.8ºc – New all-time record
• Oodnadatta (SA) 34.3ºc – New all-time record
• Ballera (QLD) 33.6ºc – Hottest night in 13 years
• Broken Hill (NSW) 33.6ºc – New all-time record
• Ivanhoe (NSW) 33.6ºc – New January record, 0.4ºc shy of the all-time record
• Wilcannia (NSW) 33.6ºc
• Hay (NSW) 33.4ºc** – All-time record
• Menindee (NSW) 33.4ºc – All-time record 
• Deniliquin (NSW) 33.0ºc**
• Windorah (QLD) 32.9ºc
• Moomba (SA) 32.8ºc
• Thargomindah (QLD) 32.7ºc – Hottest night in 13 years
• Noona (NSW) 32.6ºc
• Birdsville (QLD) 32.0ºc
• Smithville (NSW) 32.0ºc
• Roxby Downs (SA) 31.9ºc
• Delta (NSW) 31.3ºc
• Swan Hill (VIC) 31.3ºc** 
• Marree (SA) 31.1ºc
• Cobar (NSW) 31.0ºc
• Griffith (NSW) 30.5ºc – New all-time record
• Narrandera (NSW) 30.7ºc
• Yanco 30.3ºc
• Coober Pedy (SA) 30.0ºc

 

Additional Notes:

•  This is the third time this month Borrona Downs has recorded a 35.0ºc+ minimum – the previous NSW State Record was 34.8ºc prior to 2019!
• Prior to 2019, NSW had never recorded 35.0ºc+ as a minimum, with Tibooburra holding the record at 34.8ºc. During January 2019, 35.0ºc+ has been recorded 5 times now, with two of those last night!
• This is the 3rd time White Cliffs has broken its all-time record this month for overnight minimums, and the 4th time the minimum has exceeded the pre-2019 record!
• Swan Hill would’ve shattered its old record, however the town actually recorded 25.3ºc at 9am yesterday morning which will go down as the 24hr minimum… despite the 31.3ºc “overnight” temperature being the lowest. Its one of those technicalities that hinders a lot of records being broken for overnight heat.
• Deniliquin’s official minimum as well will go down as 29.1ºc due to a 9am temperature yesterday. Otherwise the 33.0ºc would’ve been a new all-time record.
• Hay’s 9am temperature yesterday was 31.9ºc – this still breaks the all-time record, however its just not quite the 33.4ºc experienced overnight.

• Last night was the 8th straight night above 30ºc for Birdsville, only 2 of those 8 nights have been below 32ºc!
• Last night was the 7th night above 30ºc for Oodnadatta this month which is quite extraordinary given the region “only” averages 23ºc as a minimum for January.

 

 

24 01, 2019

South Australia’s Hottest Day Ever Shatters BIG Records!

South Australia has just endured its hottest day on record as dozens of locations record their hottest day’s ever courtesy of a blast furnace sending inferno-like heat across the entire State. Adelaide City was one location that broke its all-time record as well as becoming the hottest capital city in Australian history as well! The raw numbers speak volumes for themselves as the majority of the State hit at least 45ºc! We have live access to 58 weather stations across South Australia… of those 58, 42 of them have exceeded 45ºc, 23 of them have exceeded 47ºc and 34 of them have broken their all-time record!

• Port Augusta 49.5ºc – All-time record
• Tarcoola 49.1ºc – All-time record
• Ceduna 48.6ºc – New all-time record
• Port Pirie 48.6ºc – All-time record
• Whyalla 48.5ºc – All-time record
• Port Lincoln 48.3ºc – All-time record
• Roseworthy 48.3ºc – All-time record
• Cultana 48.2ºc – All-time record
• Wudinna 48.1ºc – 0.1ºc shy of the all-time record
• Minnipa 48.0ºc – All-time record
• Edithburgh 47.9ºc – All-time record
• Kadina 47.9ºc – All-time record
• Woomera 47.9ºc – All-time record
• Marree 47.8ºc
• Roxby Downs 47.8ºc
• Adelaide (Kent Town) 47.7ºc – All-time record
• Parafield 47.7ºc – All-time record
• Oodnadatta 47.6ºc
• Edinburgh 47.5ºc – All-time record
• Pallamana 47.4ºc – 48.0 all-time
• Snowtown 47.3ºc – All-time record
• Coober Pedy Airport 47.1ºc 
• Leigh Creek 46.9ºc – 47.9
• Cleve Airport 47.0ºc – All-time record
• Hindmarsh Island 46.8ºc – All-time record
• Minlaton 46.8ºc – All-time record
• Strathalbyn 46.7ºc – All-time record
• Adelaide (West Terrace) 46.6ºc – All-time record
• Cummins 46.5ºc – All-time record


• Moomba 46.4ºc
• Stenhouse Bay 46.7ºc – All-time record
• Noarlunga 46.2ºc – All-time record
• Keith West 46.1ºc – New January record
• Renmark 46.1ºc – 47.1 / 48.2
• Nuriootpa 46.0ºc – All-time record
• Adelaide Airport 45.8ºc –  All-time record
• Lameroo 45.9ºc
• Yunta 45.5ºc
• Kingscote 45.4ºc – All-time record
• Loxton 45.4ºc
• Parndana 45.3ºc
• Naracoorte 45.0ºc
• Clare 44.9ºc – All-time record
• Padthaway 44.8ºc 
• Kuitpo 44.0ºc – All-time record
• Mount Gambier 44.0ºc
• Mount Crawford 43.7ºc – All-time record
• Coonawarra 43.6ºc
• Parawa West 43.5ºc – All-time record
• Cape Willoughby 41.7ºc
• Cape Jaffa 41.6ºc – All-time record 
• Mount Lofty 41.1ºc – All-time record
• Robe Airport 40.0ºc – All-time record

 

Additional Notes:
• Adelaide’s 46.6ºc at West Terrace is the highest temperature ever recorded for an Australian Capital City. This beats Melbourne’s 46.4ºc set back on Black Saturday. The 47.7ºc maximum at Kent Town is higher, however Adelaide City “officially” goes off the West Terrace data now. Kent Town was the old station. 
• Port Augusta’s 49.5ºc is the highest temperature recorded by any location in 6 years for Australia. Previous highest was Moomba, SA 49.6ºc January 2010. This also makes it the second highest daily maximum for anywhere in Australia since 1998!
• 10 locations recorded at least 48.0ºc today – thats a new daily record for any State!
• This is the first time for January, since 2010 that 2 locations have recorded 49ºc on the same day. The last time it happened for any month was just after Christmas.
• Snowtown broke its all-time record (111 years of data) by more than 1 degree. Previous all-time record was 46.3ºc set back in the 1939 heatwave.
• Port Lincoln smashed its all-time record of 45.6ºc set back in the 1939 heatwave by more than 2 degrees! Records date back at the station to 1892!
• Edithburgh has broken its January and Summer record by over 2ºc, set back in January 2009. The all-time record was actually recorded in November.
• Nuriootpa has shattered its all-time of 44.1ºc by 1.9ºc!
• Ceduna has recorded its 2 hottest days ever, over the past 2 days. 48.4ºc yesterday was an all-time record which was re-broken today.
• Mount Lofty broke its all time record (set last year) by a staggering, more than 3ºc!
• This is the third time Tarcoola has hit 48.7ºc or higher this month. The last time any single town achieved such a feat (3 x 48.7ºc+ days in a single month) was Oodnadatta back in 1960 when the town recorded 49.2, 50.7, 50.3 on consecutive days. 
• Today was the 8th day above 45ºc for Port Augusta this month.. a new record for the number of days exceeding 45ºc in a single month. 
• Today was the 13th day this month above 45.0ºc for Oodnadatta. This monthly total now equals their entire Season record of 13 set last year, whilst extending this year’s record to 16 (3 last month + 13 this month).
• Today was the 6th day above 47ºc for Oodnadatta which is also a new station record for any given month. 
• Stenhouse Bay on OCF (Operational Consensus Forecast) – its the average of 12 seperate models to give the most likely outcome… was forecast to hit 35.6ºc today, it surpassed that by 11.1ºc – potentially the biggest difference ever recorded on OCF. 

Temperatures via Weatherzone across South Australia mid afternoon

 

24 01, 2019

Record Challenging Heat To Hit NSW & VIC

Friday across both Victoria and New South Wales could be one for not just local records, but State records! Above image via Weatherzone showing 50ºc near Menindee, NSW!

The system which has brought inferno, blast furnace heat to South Australia, is expected to move East and scorch New South Wales and Victoria with a fury that we have not have seen before! When people think of some of the worst heat days in NSW and VIC, they think of Black Saturday 2009, the Canberra Bushfires and February 2017 for NSW. Friday’s heat ‘could’ trump them all, and the fire threat will rightfully be elevated because of that!

 

The trough system is expected to move across South Australia, bringing cooler areas to Southern districts. However, this will allow the heat to be funnelled into Victoria and large portions of Inland NSW. Coastal areas won’t be spared, but they won’t be “as hot” as what Saturday is providing. The focus of the heat will be over South West NSW and Far North West VIC. Menindee, Wilcannia, Hay and Pooncarie are officially going for 48ºc, however OCF is throwing up the potential for 49ºc around Menindee and Pooncarie, and BOM ACCESS R data is showing a grey bullseye over Menindee which is indicating the potential for 50-52ºc! The majority of Inland NSW is expected to exceed 45ºc with many locations heading for 47ºc or higher. The current NSW record is held by Menindee with a scorching 49.7ºc back in the infamous 1939 heatwave that has been mentioned several times for South Australia. Only twice in history, has NSW officially recorded 49ºc – the other being Walgett in 2014 – this not only means several local records may be challenged or surpassed, but the State record and the 50ºc milestone may be challenged!

 

NSW OCF Forecast Maximums for Friday via BSCH

 

 

Across VIC, the North West is expected to see maximums push the mid to high 40’s as well, with Mildura going for 47ºc and many nearby areas going for 45ºc+. The current State record is 48.8ºc set back in 2009 during Black Saturday. Out of the NSW and VIC State records being challenged, its less likely that the VIC one will go… but its still a chance given how much over forecasts some of these hotspots have been lately. The official record for Mildura (Airport, not Post Office) is 46.9ºc which could quite easily go (although the unofficial record of 50.7ºc back in 1906 at the Airport won’t be budged – why this isn’t an official State record / National record, is beyond me as its in the Mildura Post Office data). Melbourne is expected to push the 43 to 44ºc mark which would make it the hottest day since either 2014 (43ºc) or Black Saturday (44ºc). It wouldn’t be a surprise if Melbourne reached 45-46ºc and challenged its Black Saturday record given whats happened in South Australia on Thursday and so far during this heatwave. Large portions of VIC are expected to exceed 44ºc which will challenge many January records.

 

VIC OCF Forecast Maximums for Friday via BSCH

 

 

Across VIC and assumably Southern and Western NSW, severe to extreme fire danger ratings have been issued with total fire bans already in place. As the change moves through, strong to possibly damaging wind gusts are expected to combine with extreme heat to provide idealistic conditions for fires to erupt. Please be smart and if you see a fire, call authorities ASAP! 

 

VIC Fire Danger Rating via the CFA