SEVERE WEATHER ALERT TASMANIA FOR HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FLOODING & STRONG TO POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS – issued Friday 11/11/16, valid for Saturday 12/11/16 and Sunday 13/11/16
During Saturday a 990hpa low will approach the state from the North West moving East through Bass Straight during Saturday night and Sunday. A strong deep North East wind flow will develop across the state during Saturday morning before a trough attached to the low moves south across the Northern half during Saturday evening. This trough shifts the winds from the North East to the North West before stalling over the Southern half of the state. As the low pressure centre moves East on Sunday a strong deep South East wind flow develops.
Strong to possibly damaging winds, showers increasing to rain with moderate to heavy falls possible across the North and East during Saturday and Saturday night. Flash flooding, river and creek rises a risk through these areas. 24 hr rainfall totals of 50 to 100mm possible across the North East.
Strong to possibly damaging winds, showers and rain areas continuing on Sunday with moderate to heavy falls possible through the Eastern half of the state. Flash flooding, river and creek rises a risk through these areas. 24 hr rainfall totals of 50 to 100mm possible across the Eastern half including Hobart.
The low pressure system moves away from Tasmania during Monday with weather conditions easing early.